Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton is not a favorite among Idahoans, a new Idaho Politics Weekly poll finds.
But she is favored by nearly two-thirds if Idaho Democrats – reflecting the love/hate relationship the former Secretary of State and First Lady engenders among all voters.
In a new poll by Dan Jones & Associates there are no clear leaders in the GOP presidential contest, which no doubt will see even more candidates entering the 2016 contest in the months ahead.
Jones finds that among the 11 Republican candidates placed on the survey, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (brother of one former president, son to another) gets 13 percent support among all Idahoans.
U.S Sen. Rand Paul, R-Kentucky, also gets 13 percent support – perhaps showing the strong libertarian bent among some Idahoans.
All the other announced or possible GOP presidential candidates fall well behind those two.
Twenty-eight percent of Idahoans are still undecided in the GOP field.
Those “undecideds” double (41 percent) in the Democratic contest, showing an unwillingness to get behind the national Democratic leader, Clinton.
Interestingly enough, the poll numbers stay about the same in the GOP race when Jones breaks out the Republican voters: Bush stays at 13 percent support while Rand gains a point to 14 percent support.
While Clinton gets 63 percent support among Idaho Democrats, showing that at least this far out in the Democratic Party primary she has locked up Idaho in the Democratic presidential nomination – which, admittedly, is a very red state that she basically has no chance of winning in 2016 general election.
Which Republican will get Idaho’s national party delegates is, however, very much up for grabs.
In a related question, Idaho Republicans have closed their primary elections to registered party members only.
That means that Idaho Democrats and political independents can’t vote in those intra-party battles – and they won’t be able to cast ballots in the 2016 GOP presidential nomination fight.
Jones found that independent voters fall out about the same as Idaho Republicans in the early GOP presidential preferences.
So even if independents were allowed to participate in the 2016 Idaho GOP presidential contest, you wouldn’t see much difference in voting preferences – at least this far out.
Jones also asked if Idaho party primaries should be closed, as the GOP one is, or if they should be open – any registered voter can cast a ballot -- like the Democratic primary is.
Overall, Idaho voters really dislike the GOP’s closed primary: 62 percent said all primaries should be open to any registered voter; 30 percent favor closed party primaries.
Interestingly, even Idaho Republicans are split on the issue: 47 like their party’s closed primary, but 42 percent said all party primaries should be open to any voter.
Not surprisingly, independent and Democratic voters really dislike closed primaries: Independents favor open primaries, 76-18 percent; Democrats favor them, 78-15 percent.
Finally, Jones asked if Idaho businesses are taxed too much, about right, or taxed too little.
Jones found among all Idahoans, 21 percent businesses are taxed too much, 42 percent said they are taxed “about right,” while 18 percent said they are taxed too little.
Republicans are generally against taxes and pro-business. Democrats less so, and independents somewhere in between.
And Jones’ numbers bear this out:
-- 26 percent of Republicans said Idaho businesses are taxed too much, 45 percent said taxed about right, and 11 percent said taxed too little.
-- 15 percent of Democrats said businesses are taxed too much, 45 percent said about right, 32 percent said taxed too little.
-- Political independents – 19 percent taxed too much, 42 percent taxed about right, and 21 percent said taxed too little.
At 18 percent overall saying businesses are taxed too little, there is clearly not enough support for a business tax hike.
And with 21 percent overall saying businesses are taxed too much, there is not support for a business tax cut, either.