It’s easy to see why the three Idaho Republican members of Congress are coasting to their re-elections this year – they all have relatively fine job approval ratings by their constituents, a new Idaho Politics Weekly poll finds.
U.S. Sen. Mike Crapo has a 65 percent job approval rating; Rep. Raul Labrador stands at 50 percent; and Rep. Mike Simpson is at 58 percent.
You want to be at least at 50 percent – and Labrador is.
Pollster Dan Jones & Associates finds that 34 percent of Labrador’s House District 1 constituents disapprove of the job Labrador is doing in Congress, 10 percent have heard of him, but have no opinion, and 6 percent have never heard of him.
Labrador belongs to the conservative wing of the 435-member U.S. House, and his politics tend to be more divisive than other Idaho federal officers.
That shows up in the fact that 73 percent of Democrats think Labrador is not doing a good job, while 34 percent of political independents say the same thing.
He has strong support (71 percent), however, from his own GOP constituents.
Labrador is a Mormon. And he went to Utah a week ago to support Trump VP running mate Mike Pence – in a campaign stump event heavy on religion.
Jones finds Mormons in Labrador’s district know his religion – for 67 percent of Mormons in the 1st District approve of the job he’s doing.
Understandably, Democratic President Barack Obama is not well liked in Republican-heavy Idaho.
Jones finds that only 41 percent of Idahoans approve of the job Obama is doing as president (he’s over 50 percent in national polls).
Obama’s job performance shows a heavily partisan opinion:
- Republicans disapprove of Obama, 89-11 percent.
- Democrats approve of Obama, 95-6.
- And political independents disapprove of the president, 57-42 percent.
Sen. Jim Risch, R-Idaho, is not up for election this year. His job approval ratings are close to Crapo’s – 61 percent approve of Risch’s job in the U.S. Senate, 39 percent disapprove, 14 percent have heard of him, but have no opinion, and 9 percent have never heard of him.
Labrador’s partisan approach to his job, compared to the more moderate Simpson, also shows up in this statistic:
- Only 16 percent of Democrats in Labrador’s district approve the job he’s doing.
- Yet 48 percent of the Democrats in Simpson’s 2nd District say Simpson is doing a good job in Congress.
- 35 percent of Democrats say he is doing a poor job.
So more Democrats like the job the GOP Simpson is doing than disapprove – and that’s a good mark for an incumbent from the other party.
Hey, only 47 percent of political independents think Simpson is doing a good job.
Crapo’s approval rating is 65 percent to 36 percent. As reported earlier in head-to-head voter preference stories, Crapo leads Democratic challenger Jerry Sturgill, 55-25 percent, Jones finds.
Labrador leads Democrat James Piotrowski, 51-31 percent. And Simpson leads Democrat Jennifer Martinez, 53-27 percent.
Jones polled 608 likely voters statewide from Sept. 28 to Oct. 9. That sample has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.97 percent.
Jones polled 331 adults in Labrador’s 1st District; for a margin of error of 5.39 percent.
And he polled 277 adults in Simpson’s 2nd District; for a margin of error of plus or minus 5.89 percent.