The Idaho Republican Party had better hope that young adults in the state grow more conservative and pick the GOP to belong to as they age, otherwise, there could be a political reckoning coming, a recent Idaho Politics Weekly poll shows.
A review of the voter demographics in a Dan Jones & Associates poll for the online weekly political newsletter finds some real political differences between those who are 18 to 29 years old and their parents, those 50-59 years old.
Among some of the variations:
- 48 percent of those 18-29 told Jones that they DO NOT belong to either the Republican or Democratic parties.
- 25 percent said they are political independents.
- While 23 percent said they belong to some other political party, like the Greens or Constitution.
- 31 percent said they are Republicans.
- And only 18 percent picked the Democratic Party.
Those numbers are in stark contrast to the political leanings of their parents, or those who are 50-59 years old:
- Only 39 percent said they don’t belong to either the Republican or Democratic parties.
- A third (33 percent) said they are political independents, while only 6 percent said they belong to a third party, like the Greens or Constitution.
- 49 percent of the older Idahoans said they are Republicans.
- Only 12 percent said they are Democrats, making that minority Idaho party really in the minority.
It may be true as young adults grow older they become more conservative.
But as they stand now, among those 18-29, 48 percent say they don’t belong to either of the major parties, while 49 percent said they are either a Republican or a Democrat.
Jones also finds:
- 42 percent of the young adults classified themselves as conservatives, either “very” or “somewhat” so.
- But 56 percent said they are either “moderates” or liberals, “somewhat” or “very” so.
Their parents are more conservative:
- 57 percent of the 50-59-year-olds said they are “very” or “somewhat” conservative.
- While only 32 percent said they are “moderate” or “somewhat” or “very” liberal.
Jones polled 619 adults from Nov. 8-15. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.94 percent.