Idahoans are not overly optimistic about the future of either the U.S. economy or their own state’s economy, a poll by Idaho Politics Weekly finds.
In a survey completed before the presidential election, IPW pollster Dan Jones & Associates shows that about 50 percent of Idahoans say their own state’s economy will be about the same a year from now as it is today.
But even fewer believe the U.S. economy is headed in the right direction – a quarter says it will be worse and just over a quarter says it will be the same, no improvement expected in the U.S. economy a year from now.
In reality, the U.S. economy is not doing that poorly – there is growth, although at a rate slower than many economists say is healthy – and the number of jobs being created each month and the unemployment rates are at all time good marks coming out of the 2008-2009 Great Recession.
Still, promises of a much better economy, and getting back manufacturing jobs lost over the years, is one reason Republican Donald Trump is headed for the White House instead of Democrat Hillary Clinton.
- 48 percent of Idahoans believe their state’s economy a year from now will be unchanged.
- 17 percent say it will be worse (a bleak outlook).
- 21 percent say it will be better.
- While 13 percent don’t know or have an opinion.
Republicans and political independents are more divided:
- 49 percent of Republicans say the state’s economy will be the same; 15 percent say it will be worse.
- 19 percent of independents say it will worse; 47 percent say it will be the same.
Democrats are a little more optimistic:
- 27 percent of Democrats say the Idaho economy will be better next year.
- Only 15 percent say it will be worse.
- 50 percent say it will be the same.
- And 8 percent of Democrats don’t have an opinion.
Idahoans are much more uncertain about the U.S. economy:
- 28 percent say the U.S. economy will remain the same in 12 months.
- 25 percent say it will be worse.
- And only 18 percent say it will be better.
Democrats, again, are more optimistic:
- 34 percent say the nation’s economy will be better.
- 32 percent say it will be the same.
- And only 11 percent believe it will be worse.
- 27 percent of Republicans say the U.S. economy will be worse next year; 25 percent say it will be the same; only 15 percent say it will be better, and 33 percent don’t know.
The political independents agree in basically the same numbers with their Republican Idaho neighbors.
Jones polled 608 adults from Sept. 28 to Oct. 9. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.97 percent.